Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 11.180077 12.531319 14.020749 15.791164 17.847044 20.169776 23.007484
2025-11-02 9.189912 10.918117 12.967441 15.600898 18.930150 23.046324 28.595008
2025-11-09 7.983216 9.856050 12.187994 15.349150 19.591790 25.191119 33.315988
2025-11-16 7.147070 9.095306 11.617275 15.187470 20.222068 27.243714 38.104954
2025-11-23 6.420829 8.373616 10.982708 14.810898 20.438294 28.666265 42.125670
2025-11-30 5.923445 7.896972 10.610376 14.724560 21.010729 30.621928 47.216746
2025-12-07 5.360584 7.272475 9.961848 14.149047 20.751957 31.228261 50.160843
2025-12-14 4.840409 6.663544 9.277829 13.440736 20.185642 31.237222 52.030189
2025-12-21 4.498337 6.284931 8.897318 13.154197 20.247445 32.267981 55.873263
2025-12-28 4.580703 6.536467 9.477374 14.432315 23.035309 38.364190 70.488543
2026-01-04 4.426674 6.415032 9.467203 14.739059 24.180544 41.662391 80.211085
2026-01-11 4.138844 6.065598 9.067983 14.349496 24.028461 42.474725 84.761449
2026-01-18 4.024475 5.990359 9.118411 14.763803 25.452270 46.682864 98.190838
2026-01-25 3.805245 5.732726 8.850005 14.590362 25.743396 48.646358 106.854139
2026-02-01 3.596406 5.477733 8.565842 14.358542 25.886085 50.307515 115.181899
2026-02-08 3.420484 5.265730 8.338938 14.209675 26.174067 52.327716 125.016243
2026-02-15 3.226974 5.012516 8.022844 13.862817 26.008715 53.285736 132.155320
2026-02-22 3.091171 4.849277 7.853724 13.783267 26.399847 55.614800 144.024721
2026-03-01 2.897550 4.576162 7.471320 13.252773 25.749145 55.308743 147.683601
2026-03-08 2.699620 4.286263 7.042845 12.599298 24.761156 54.026757 147.904579
2026-03-15 2.570875 4.111507 6.814980 12.334758 24.627474 54.920650 155.729270
2026-03-22 2.646732 4.301800 7.271745 13.513934 27.976004 65.633110 202.319032
2026-03-29 2.598747 4.266435 7.301062 13.796626 29.229206 70.870629 230.990612